Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 19.412516 22.211751 25.410745 29.367326 34.171339 39.869626 47.222152
2025-08-10 15.517689 18.920611 23.158477 28.923935 36.723990 47.156370 62.609646
2025-08-17 13.296260 16.886622 21.616071 28.479605 38.502290 53.152372 77.328572
2025-08-24 11.807264 15.478306 20.532603 28.261040 40.289253 59.274868 93.828124
2025-08-31 10.517205 14.130100 19.279699 27.490316 40.955439 63.638197 108.646080
2025-09-07 9.605510 13.189799 18.459658 27.188906 42.220290 69.171116 127.453897
2025-09-14 8.612468 12.016644 17.137626 25.866285 41.466800 70.835548 138.927121
2025-09-21 7.754207 10.962739 15.882044 24.470777 40.316325 71.438137 148.235075
2025-09-28 7.152653 10.248432 15.087793 23.748821 40.267058 74.209085 163.890150
2025-10-05 7.370702 10.828908 16.436490 26.961119 48.383441 96.604792 243.828031
2025-10-12 7.171712 10.715621 16.606720 28.032555 52.384714 110.981798 311.049820
2025-10-19 6.698288 10.109781 15.866272 27.256749 52.235573 114.936215 345.414710
2025-10-26 6.498317 9.965197 15.955531 28.195207 56.312053 132.047923 448.672047
2025-11-02 6.122813 9.492224 15.410073 27.775317 57.131971 140.374716 524.374593
2025-11-09 5.785362 9.059500 14.897604 27.353875 57.863510 148.781888 611.999378
2025-11-16 5.506569 8.709809 14.508829 27.146545 59.108124 159.450380 729.585429
2025-11-23 5.190812 8.272602 13.916139 26.415224 58.817295 164.803546 823.445513
2025-11-30 4.952535 7.960384 13.540558 26.129133 59.707525 174.972199 974.534314
2025-12-07 4.627488 7.470471 12.780129 24.873131 57.613572 172.915008 1022.594119
2025-12-14 4.318360 6.994811 12.019170 23.546812 55.119178 168.557988 1046.035132
2025-12-21 4.097669 6.672718 11.546342 22.860192 54.427705 171.604960 1154.471364
2025-12-28 4.258884 7.074702 12.570459 25.912890 65.927653 235.273902 2265.969815
2026-01-04 4.211248 7.074574 12.761568 26.929775 71.274648 274.805380 3412.607840